Rabu, 02 November 2016

NZD/USD Technicals – Back Within 0.82 – 0.825 After “Fakeout”

NZD/USD Technicals – Back Within 0.82 – 0.825 After “Fakeout”

Kiwi dollar was trading lower today despite improving appetite for risk during the Asian sessionwhich saw Nikkei 225 climbing 2.17% and the Hang Seng index 1.08% at time of writing. Prices climb higher in the session of the United States at the beginning led by strong rebound in US stocks. However, prices began to rapidly reverse falling below the 0,825 ceiling turned support by the end of the US session, making the push earlier over a 0.825 "fakeout".

Time Table

NZDUSD_070214H1

The failure to maintain prices above 0.825 is a strong sign that market sentiment Kiwi Dollar is not exactly bullish. This is not a new revelation that the muted reaction of a job that provided strong change Wednesday already told us. This notion is further reinforced during the analysis of our Thursday's price action. Therefore, there really was no business for the bulls to break 0,825 yesterday and therefore the subsequent decline can not be considered surprising. This also means that the probability of price 0.825 rupture and the confluence with the rising trend line now will be lower. Stochastic readings longer point but looking at historical movement Stoch suggest an opportunity Stoch curve inversion here, where another point of inflections were spotted. Therefore, a move back towards 0.82 round number is favored, but if the price breaks above without any fundamental support we have seen rapid downward retaliation just like what we saw earlier aujourd 'hui.

Daily Graphic

NZDUSD_070214D1

similar daily chart does not share with the uptrend. Stochastic readings moves to a "resistance" level of 70.0, while the prices doji candlestick suggests that management is undecided. However, until 0.82 support is intact, the "fakeout" of 0815 and move later in the consolidation channel can not be excluded, and traders should still take note of the midterm scenario where 0.84 is the intended target . As such, bearish traders who want to participate in a potential of 0.82 movement should be more careful because it can be considered a move against the trend.

Non-Farm Payroll today will help shed light on the supposed bearish sentiment. As US stocks / risk appetite may be expected to experience high volatility after the NFP figures are released, we should be able to see wild swings on NZD / USD as well. If 0,825 ceiling continue to keep, even if initial message direction NFP is bullish, bearish sentiment underlying be confirmed and vice versa for 0.82 support

Links :.
GBP / USD - Range Between 1.6250 and 1.6350 Establishment
AUD / USD - from challenge resistance at 0.0
EUR / USD - Surges Through 1.3550 Key level

This article is only for general information purposes. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or its subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.


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